A fully deterministic run where, in every single match, the higher squad market value always wins — no draws, no upsets.
🥇
🇫🇷
France
Champions
€1.52bn
🥈
🏴
England
Runners-up
€1.36bn
🥉
🇪🇸
Spain
Third place
€1.22bn
4
🇵🇹
Portugal
Fourth place
€1.01bn
The Bracket
Winners flow toward the centre. Hover any team to trace its run; click a team to pin it.
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Semi-finals
Quarter-finals
Round of 16
Round of 32
🇫🇷France€1.52bn
🏴England€1.36bn
🇫🇷France€1.52bn
🇪🇸Spain€1.22bn
🇫🇷France€1.52bn
🇳🇱Netherlands€754m
🇩🇪Germany€947m
🇫🇷France€1.52bn
🇩🇪Germany€947m
🇧🇦Bosnia€152m
🇫🇷France€1.52bn
🇵🇾Paraguay€154m
🇨🇦Canada€199m
🇳🇱Netherlands€754m
🇨🇿Czechia€188m
🇨🇦Canada€199m
🇳🇱Netherlands€754m
🇲🇦Morocco€498m
🇪🇸Spain€1.22bn
🇧🇪Belgium€548m
🇭🇷Croatia€387m
🇪🇸Spain€1.22bn
🇨🇴Colombia€302m
🇭🇷Croatia€387m
🇪🇸Spain€1.22bn
🇩🇿Algeria€257m
🇹🇷Turkiye€474m
🇧🇪Belgium€548m
🇹🇷Turkiye€474m
🇯🇵Japan€271m
🇧🇪Belgium€548m
🇸🇳Senegal€478m
🏴England€1.36bn
🇵🇹Portugal€1.01bn
🇧🇷Brazil€928m
🏴England€1.36bn
🇧🇷Brazil€928m
🇳🇴Norway€590m
🇧🇷Brazil€928m
🇸🇪Sweden€406m
🇨🇮Ivory Coast€522m
🇳🇴Norway€590m
🇲🇽Mexico€192m
🏴England€1.36bn
🇲🇽Mexico€192m
🏴Scotland€170m
🏴England€1.36bn
🇪🇨Ecuador€369m
🇦🇷Argentina€783m
🇵🇹Portugal€1.01bn
🇦🇷Argentina€783m
🇺🇸USA€386m
🇦🇷Argentina€783m
🇺🇾Uruguay€359m
🇺🇸USA€386m
🇪🇬Egypt€116m
🇨🇭Switzerland€333m
🇵🇹Portugal€1.01bn
🇨🇭Switzerland€333m
🇦🇹Austria€245m
🇵🇹Portugal€1.01bn
🇬🇭Ghana€235m
🏆
🇫🇷
France
World Champions
🥉 Third place
🇪🇸Spain€1.22bn
🇵🇹Portugal€1.01bn
Every Team by Market Value
Sorted by squad value. Click a team to trace its path above. vs Exp shows how many knockout rounds further (▲) or shorter (▼) a team went than its market-value seeding predicts — ranks 5–8 are seeded to the quarters, 9–16 to the last 16, and so on.
#
Team
Value
Finish
Pos
vs Exp
1
🇫🇷France
€1.52bn
Champions
1st
— met
2
🏴England
€1.36bn
Runner-up
2nd
— met
3
🇪🇸Spain
€1.22bn
Third place
3rd
— met
4
🇵🇹Portugal
€1.01bn
Fourth place
4th
— met
5
🇩🇪Germany
€947m
Round of 16
9th
▼ 1
6
🇧🇷Brazil
€928m
Quarter-finals
5th
— met
7
🇦🇷Argentina
€783m
Quarter-finals
6th
— met
8
🇳🇱Netherlands
€754m
Quarter-finals
7th
— met
9
🇳🇴Norway
€590m
Round of 16
10th
— met
10
🇧🇪Belgium
€548m
Quarter-finals
8th
▲ 1
11
🇨🇮Ivory Coast
€522m
Round of 32
17th
▼ 1
12
🇲🇦Morocco
€498m
Round of 32
18th
▼ 1
13
🇸🇳Senegal
€478m
Round of 32
19th
▼ 1
14
🇹🇷Turkiye
€474m
Round of 16
11th
— met
15
🇸🇪Sweden
€406m
Round of 32
20th
▼ 1
16
🇭🇷Croatia
€387m
Round of 16
12th
— met
17
🇺🇸United States
€386m
Round of 16
13th
▲ 1
18
🇪🇨Ecuador
€369m
Round of 32
21st
— met
19
🇺🇾Uruguay
€359m
Round of 32
22nd
— met
20
🇨🇭Switzerland
€333m
Round of 16
14th
▲ 1
21
🇨🇴Colombia
€302m
Round of 32
23rd
— met
22
🇯🇵Japan
€271m
Round of 32
24th
— met
23
🇩🇿Algeria
€257m
Round of 32
25th
— met
24
🇦🇹Austria
€245m
Round of 32
26th
— met
#
Team
Value
Finish
Pos
vs Exp
25
🇬🇭Ghana
€235m
Round of 32
27th
— met
26
🇨🇦Canada
€199m
Round of 16
15th
▲ 1
27
🇲🇽Mexico
€192m
Round of 16
16th
▲ 1
28
🇨🇿Czechia
€188m
Round of 32
28th
— met
29
🏴Scotland
€170m
Round of 32
29th
— met
30
🇵🇾Paraguay
€154m
Round of 32
30th
— met
31
🇧🇦Bosnia-Herzegovina
€152m
Round of 32
31st
— met
32
🇨🇩DR Congo
€144m
Group stage
33rd
▼ 1
33
🇰🇷South Korea
€139m
Group stage
34th
— met
34
🇪🇬Egypt
€116m
Round of 32
32nd
▲ 1
35
🇺🇿Uzbekistan
€85m
Group stage
35th
— met
36
🇦🇺Australia
€77m
Group stage
36th
— met
37
🇹🇳Tunisia
€70m
Group stage
37th
— met
38
🇭🇹Haiti
€56m
Group stage
38th
— met
39
🇨🇻Cape Verde
€55m
Group stage
39th
— met
40
🇿🇦South Africa
€49m
Group stage
40th
— met
41
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia
€41m
Group stage
41st
— met
42
🇵🇦Panama
€35m
Group stage
42nd
— met
43
🇳🇿New Zealand
€34m
Group stage
43rd
— met
44
🇮🇷Iran
€32m
Group stage
44th
— met
45
🇨🇼Curaçao
€26m
Group stage
45th
— met
46
🇮🇶Iraq
€21m
Group stage
46th
— met
47
🇯🇴Jordan
€20m
Group stage
47th
— met
48
🇶🇦Qatar
€20m
Group stage
48th
— met
Group Stage
Group A
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇲🇽Mexico
3
0
9
2
🇨🇿Czechia
2
1
6
3
🇰🇷South Korea
1
2
3
4
🇿🇦South Africa
0
3
0
Group B
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇨🇭Switzerland
3
0
9
2
🇨🇦Canada
2
1
6
3
🇧🇦Bosnia-Herzegovina
1
2
3
4
🇶🇦Qatar
0
3
0
Group C
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇧🇷Brazil
3
0
9
2
🇲🇦Morocco
2
1
6
3
🏴Scotland
1
2
3
4
🇭🇹Haiti
0
3
0
Group D
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇹🇷Turkiye
3
0
9
2
🇺🇸United States
2
1
6
3
🇵🇾Paraguay
1
2
3
4
🇦🇺Australia
0
3
0
Group E
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇩🇪Germany
3
0
9
2
🇨🇮Ivory Coast
2
1
6
3
🇪🇨Ecuador
1
2
3
4
🇨🇼Curaçao
0
3
0
Group F
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇳🇱Netherlands
3
0
9
2
🇸🇪Sweden
2
1
6
3
🇯🇵Japan
1
2
3
4
🇹🇳Tunisia
0
3
0
Group G
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇧🇪Belgium
3
0
9
2
🇪🇬Egypt
2
1
6
3
🇳🇿New Zealand
1
2
3
4
🇮🇷Iran
0
3
0
Group H
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇪🇸Spain
3
0
9
2
🇺🇾Uruguay
2
1
6
3
🇨🇻Cape Verde
1
2
3
4
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia
0
3
0
Group I
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇫🇷France
3
0
9
2
🇳🇴Norway
2
1
6
3
🇸🇳Senegal
1
2
3
4
🇮🇶Iraq
0
3
0
Group J
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇦🇷Argentina
3
0
9
2
🇩🇿Algeria
2
1
6
3
🇦🇹Austria
1
2
3
4
🇯🇴Jordan
0
3
0
Group K
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🇵🇹Portugal
3
0
9
2
🇨🇴Colombia
2
1
6
3
🇨🇩DR Congo
1
2
3
4
🇺🇿Uzbekistan
0
3
0
Group L
Team
W
L
Pts
1
🏴England
3
0
9
2
🇭🇷Croatia
2
1
6
3
🇬🇭Ghana
1
2
3
4
🇵🇦Panama
0
3
0
Qualified (top 2)Qualified as one of 8 best third-placed teams
Built from Transfermarkt squad market values · higher value wins every match.
